Description

This analysis provides a forecast of KAS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-08 0.059880 0.067868 0.076082 0.085127 0.094779 0.104741 0.115772
2025-06-15 0.047100 0.058981 0.071872 0.086751 0.103310 0.121047 0.141356
2025-06-22 0.038424 0.052444 0.068354 0.087403 0.109276 0.133325 0.161495
2025-06-29 0.034276 0.050174 0.068862 0.091861 0.118870 0.149111 0.185081
2025-07-06 0.029070 0.045850 0.066311 0.092190 0.123243 0.158607 0.201265
2025-07-13 0.028079 0.046575 0.069678 0.099411 0.135567 0.177169 0.227771
2025-07-20 0.023063 0.041463 0.065326 0.096848 0.135934 0.181576 0.237749
2025-07-27 0.021392 0.040667 0.066307 0.100757 0.144006 0.194976 0.258160
2025-08-03 0.018810 0.038284 0.064986 0.101576 0.148160 0.203623 0.272928
2025-08-10 0.016535 0.036086 0.063715 0.102296 0.152068 0.211891 0.287190
2025-08-17 0.014089 0.033331 0.061459 0.101553 0.154004 0.217673 0.298416
2025-08-24 0.011137 0.029356 0.057181 0.097864 0.151992 0.218472 0.303522
2025-08-31 0.008660 0.025937 0.053663 0.095326 0.151742 0.221867 0.312379
2025-09-07 0.007459 0.024655 0.053280 0.097133 0.157239 0.232559 0.330354
2025-09-14 0.006195 0.023010 0.052187 0.097839 0.161226 0.241338 0.345999
2025-09-21 0.005839 0.023170 0.053932 0.102602 0.170636 0.256999 0.370182
2025-09-28 0.004777 0.021574 0.052696 0.102954 0.174061 0.265034 0.384922
2025-10-05 0.004987 0.022950 0.056433 0.110654 0.187496 0.285909 0.415700
2025-10-12 0.003656 0.020310 0.053216 0.107922 0.186632 0.288411 0.423549
2025-10-19 0.003401 0.020359 0.054606 0.112088 0.195237 0.303119 0.446700
2025-10-26 0.002787 0.019249 0.053864 0.112960 0.199260 0.311891 0.462408
2025-11-02 0.002249 0.018175 0.053093 0.113727 0.203098 0.320407 0.477796
2025-11-09 0.001660 0.016665 0.051380 0.112936 0.204689 0.325950 0.489403